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Planning for Uncertainty and Disruption: How to Adapt to Tomorrow’s Trends Today by Scott Steinberg

If there’s one thing that the last two years (and a close brush with COVID-19’s economic impact) have taught meeting and event planners, it’s that the unexpected is now the only thing that modern professionals can now expect. With in-person events returning faster than anticipated, hybrid meetings are here to stay, and travel suddenly rebounding, it’s also becoming increasingly clear that an environment of constant change is the new status quo as well.

 

Anyone can learn to more effectively spot and adapt to rising trends

 

Luckily, as we share with thousands each year keynote and workshop programs such as Think Like a Futurist: How to See Tomorrow Today, you don’t have to be especially brilliant or talented to successfully navigate through all this ongoing chaos – or stay one step ahead of the curve. Better still for industry vets who may be reeling from months of constant disruption: Anyone can learn to more effectively spot and adapt to rising trends just by asking more pointed questions and exercising a little bit more critical thinking to boot. Having spent 20 years serving as a futurist and trends expert for today’s largest household brands, here’s a simple three-step system that you can use to more effectively plan for whatever the future brings – and adapt to any unforeseen curveballs that it throws your way.

 

Focus on the Future

 

Futurism is the practice of actively contemplating future events and trends, and how they promise to impact your business – and it’s only becoming an increasingly vital skill to employ. Luckily, anyone can practice using it the same way we pros do: Just by studying the current state of the market and society, tracking emerging trends, and challenging yourself to think about how resulting developments might impact your organization. You can become more of anticipatory leader just by staying better attuned to what’s happening in the marketplace and making a point to actively plan ahead by creating concrete action plans for addressing any scenarios that you might face. One of the easiest ways to do this is to challenge staffers to routinely pause and consider what’s coming next for your field – then craft sample scenarios that you and your colleagues can simulate working through to solve problems long before they ever become pressing issues. For example, simple exercises we often use at workshops and retreats to help partners think more strategically include:

 

 

  • Brainstorming 10 unforeseen events and happenings that might impact your business in the future and discussing with peers how you might address them. For example, this might include asking yourself what if:
    • A resurgence in COVID-19 causes event attendance to shrink, industry calendars to shift, and available labor to become even harder to come by?
    • Audience spending and interest winds up pulling back in the wake of ongoing economic uncertainty?
    • Geopolitical upheaval causes temporary or long-term hiccups to the event or travel planning process?

 

  • Thinking up 10 new trends or innovations that promise to reshape your field, and exploring which should be top of mind going forward by encouraging you to ask yourself pointed questions like:
    • Which areas of your business are likeliest to be impacted by these new advancements, how, and when?
    • How are you preparing to greet these changes going forward, and where can you turn for help if needed while doing so?
    • What simple shifts in business or operating strategy could you make to address impending changes in the market or pivot to new audiences or spaces as needed?

 

Engaging in these exercises – essentially playing a constant game of asking yourself what if? – can help you determine which way the future is trending, and the best plan of action to adopt going forward. Better yet, the more you make a point to role-play through possible scenarios and exercise your problem-solving skills, the more you’ll discover that the type of critical thinking that futurists use is a skill that can be strengthened through repeated exercise.

 

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Make Strategic Planning Your Secret Weapon

 

Planning for tomorrow not only encourages to get in the habit of being more proactive in the face of impending shifts, but also more purposeful when it comes to doing our research and making smart decisions. But perhaps best of all, it also gets us in the habit of exercising strong, but weakly held opinions, i.e. making decisions using the best information at-hand and taking action, but not becoming so married to our strategies that we can’t change course in the face of new (or even contradictory) information and business intelligence. As you go about this process, and consider new business strategies, don’t forget to take a long-term approach to planning either, and recognize that there are many ways to win in business besides boosting your company’s profits. For example: Although it may begin as a loss leader at first, if starting a new conference or event series introduces you to new industries or partners, or provides crucial business insights and learnings, it may be worth more than a short-term boost to revenues in the end.  So as you consider which business choices to pursue, don’t forget to factor in the opportunity cost associated with any decision as well. Happily, asking yourself a few simple questions can help here, such as:

 

  • Profits aside, how can you always ensure you’re finding ways to win with every opportunity you pursue – i.e. by gaining new capabilities, insights, and resources that can be applied to other business ventures?
  • How adaptable are the business strategies that you’re considering implementing – and if they fall short, just how readily can you repurpose tools, technologies, and insights gained from them in new and novel ways if needed, or use them to pivot to new opportunities?
  • How quickly can resources and learnings garnered from your efforts in any given area translate to other contexts, industries, or areas of business opportunity?

 

 

Apply a Measured Approach to Advancement

 

As corporate leaders can tell you, it pays to apply a structured approach to innovation. Noting this, you can get better about determining which way the wind is blowing by engaging in a few simple forward-thinking activities that indicate how tomorrow’s world is trending.

 

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  • Staying Up to Date on Emerging Developments – For example: Millennials and Gen Zers – who think, learn, and operate differently from prior generations – are becoming the largest demographics in the workforce, just as artificial intelligence and robotics are transforming the shape of the workplace as we speak. Just a few ways you can stay on top of these shifts include reading up on the latest news, attending conferences, staying attuned to academic research, consulting with suppliers and vendors, talking with industry thought leaders, and keeping on top of business and investment activity.

 

  • Applying a Critical Eye Towards Change Management – Once you’ve spotted an emerging trend, make a point to think ahead and imagine what the future will look like 3, 5, and 10 years hence for your field. Now work backwards and consider how your industry got there, and how you and your company can play a role in helping the market arrive at this future state. By way of illustration, in the case of virtual reality or “metaverse” (digitally simulated) events, for example, you might ask: How will current markets and industries be impacted by these innovations? What business models will they upend – and to what extent? And what new opportunities will their arrival create?

 

  • Being More Structured in Your Analysis – Having a strategic methodology for evaluating opportunities is also essential. For example: You might start by deciding whether a new technology aimed at the meetings and events industry is an incremental innovation (such as one that introduces a clever new feature or function) or disruptive innovation that produces a new product, service, or category. Afterwards, you could then identify prospective markets and audiences for it; pick a time period to examine; and put the idea through rigorous analysis to understand the business opportunity it introduces. Then you’ll also want to consider the potential value to your organization, and the strategic rationale for pursuing it.

 

  • Surround Yourself Expert Advisers No one can predict the future with 100% certainty. But you can certainly improve your accuracy by making it a more collaborative and communal affair. The more you can create and leverage a network of diverse advisers boasting different backgrounds and experiences in different domains who can help provide more robust feedback and insight when you’re working to envision the future, the more successful that you’ll be.

 

 

The more you stay attuned to market signals, work to weave them together to spot emerging patterns, and strive to put new ideas in motion, the more successful you’ll ultimately be.

 

 

Seeing Tomorrow Today

 

In the end, it helps to remember that getting better about planning for tomorrow isn’t necessarily about having to get better about predicting the future so much as it is about asking more pointed questions. The more you stay attuned to market signals, work to weave them together to spot emerging patterns, and strive to put new ideas in motion, the more successful you’ll ultimately be. Better yet, the more you practice using these talents, the more you’ll also find that tomorrow is often simply what you choose to make of it – and the better equipped to adapt to changing times that you’ll be.

 


 

Hailed as the World’s Leading Business Strategist, award-winning expert witness, strategic consultant, and professional speaker Scott Steinberg is among today’s best-known trends experts and futurists, and the bestselling author of Think Like a Futurist: The Next NormalMake Change Work for You: 10 Ways to Future-Proof Yourself, Fearlessly Innovate, and Succeed Despite Uncertainty; and Fast >> Forward: How to Turbo-Charge Business, Sales, and Career Growth. The President and CEO of BIZDEV: The International Association for Business Development and Strategic Partnerships™

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